Growth, Brands and More

Growth, Brands and More

Mondelēz’s Earnings Grew 145%.

None of That Came From Selling More Snacks

Filiberto Amati's avatar
Filiberto Amati
Jul 30, 2026
∙ Paid
cookies in blue container
Photo by Olena Bohovyk on Unsplash

Q2 2026: diluted EPS $1.20, up 144.9%, driven by non-cash mark-to-market derivative gains. Adjusted EPS: $0.73, down 2.7% at constant currency.

Mondelēz’s diluted earnings per share grew 144.9% in the second quarter of 2026, to $1.20. Adjusted EPS, the number that strips out one-off items, fell 2.7% at constant currency, to $0.73.

Both numbers are accurate. One describes a genuine, if deliberate, operating decision. The other describes a derivatives mark-to-market swing that has nothing to do with how many biscuits, chocolate bars, or gum packets Mondelēz sold this quarter. If your first exposure to this result was the 144.9% headline, you were looking at the wrong number.

The Real Story Is a Company Choosing to Spend Its Beat

Adjusted EPS of $0.73 still beat consensus, which sat at $0.68 to $0.69, by more than 5%. That matters, because it means the market had already priced in some margin compression. What it had not fully priced in was how deliberate that compression would be.

Net revenue reached $9,355 million, up 4.1% reported and 2.2% organic, with volume/mix contributing 0.7 percentage points and pricing 1.5 percentage points. Strip out the reported drag from package downsizing, roughly 50 basis points, and the underlying volume/mix growth was closer to 1.2 percentage points. That is real consumer demand, not just price realisation.

Adjusted gross margin held at 34.0%, up 20 basis points, on supply chain productivity gains that offset cocoa cost pressure. Adjusted operating income fell 6.1% to $1,225 million, with operating margin down 120 basis points to 13.1%. Management was explicit about the cause. Double-digit increases in advertising and consumer promotion spend, plus incremental freight, insurance, and rerouting costs tied to Middle East shipping disruption. Not inefficiency. A choice.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Filiberto Amati.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Filiberto Amati · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture